Open enrollment for 2023 ACA coverage: what to expect

September 26, 2022

Key takeaways

ACA open enrollment will look mostly familiar this fall.
Open enrollment dates and deadlines for 2023 plans
Insurers entering and leaving individual and family markets
The ‘family glitch’ fix will help some buyers.
How are ACA premiums changing for 2023?
You can start doing your plan shopping research now.

The tenth annual open enrollment for ACA-compliant individual/family health coverage is just around the corner. It starts November 1, and will continue through January 15 in most states.

Millions of Americans will enroll or renew their coverage for 2023 during open enrollment. Some have been buying their own health insurance for years, while others are fairly new to the process. And some are currently uninsured or have been covered by plans that aren’t ACA-compliant – such asa healthcare sharing ministry plan or short-term health insurance.

This article will give you an overview of what to expect during the open enrollment period. For even more information about open enrollment, check out our comprehensive guide to open enrollment.

ACA open enrollment will look mostly familiar this fall

In general, this year’s open enrollment period will be fairly similar to last year’s, but with some changes that we’ll address in more detail below:

Each state will continue to use the same exchange/marketplace platform it used last fall (HealthCare.gov in 33 states, and a state-run platform in DC and the other 17 states). And most states will continue to use the same enrollment schedule they used last year.
The Inflation Reduction Act has extended the American Rescue Plan’s subsidy enhancements through 2025, so the subsidy rules that were in effect for 2022 will continue to be in effect for 2023. (There’s no “subsidy cliff” and the percentage of income that you have to pay for the benchmark plan is lower than it used to be.)
Because the subsidy enhancements have been extended, the record-high enrollment we saw this year is likely to continue, and the improved affordability that the American Rescue Plan created will also continue. But that doesn’t mean your premium will stay the same — more on this below.
Brokers and Navigators will continue to provide assistance with enrollment. And Navigator funding is higher than ever before, in an effort to increase outreach and enrollment assistance.
The insurers offering health plans through the exchanges (and outside the exchanges) will generally be the same insurers that offered plans for 2022. But there are several insurers joining the exchange or expanding their coverage area for 2023, and some insurers that are shrinking their coverage areas.
The IRS has proposed a fix for the “family glitch” which will make some families newly eligible for premium subsidies in the marketplace.

Open enrollment dates and deadlines for 2023 plans

By now, most people are accustomed to the fact that individual/family health coverage is no longer available for purchase year-round, and instead uses open enrollment and special enrollment periods, similar to those used for employer-sponsored plans. The same open enrollment schedules apply to plans purchased through the exchange/marketplace and to plans purchased from insurance companies through private channels (ie, “off-exchange”).

Open enrollment begins November 1, and in nearly every state, it will continue through at least January 15. (Note that Idaho is an exception: Open enrollment in Idaho starts and ends earlier, running from October 15 to December 15. Idaho is the only state where open enrollment for 2023 coverage will end before the start of the year.)

So in most states, the enrollment schedule will follow the same timeframe that was used last year. And in most states, you’ll need to enroll by December 15 in order to have your coverage take effect on January 1. Enrolling after December 15 will generally result in a February 1 effective date.

One caveat to keep in mind: If your current health plan is terminating at the end of 2022 and not available for renewal, you can select a new plan as late as December 31 and still have it take effect January 1.

Although open enrollment continues through at least mid-January in most states, it’s generally in your best interest to finalize your plan selection in time to have the coverage in force on January 1. We’ve explained this in much more detail here.

In most states, that means you’ll need to enroll or make a plan change by December 15. In terms of the effective date of your coverage, there’s no difference between enrolling on November 1 versus December 15. But waiting until the last minute might feel a bit more stressful, and you might have trouble finding an enrollment assister who can help you at that point. You don’t need to be the first person in line, but it’s good to give yourself a bit of wiggle room in case you run into glitches with the enrollment process or find that you’d like assistance with some or all of it.

Rest assured, however, that open enrollment continues until at least mid-January in most states. So if there’s no way for you to get signed up in the earlier part of the enrollment window, you can most likely complete the process after the start of the year and have coverage in effect as of February.

Insurers entering and leaving individual and family markets

As is always the case, there will be some fluctuation in terms of which insurers offer individual/family health coverage for 2023. For the last several years, the general trend has been toward increased insurer participation in the exchanges. Here’s more about what we saw in 2020, 2021, and 2022.)

That trend is continuing in 2023, with new insurers joining (or rejoining) the exchanges in many states. But there are also some insurer exits that existing enrollees need to be aware of.

Several insurers are joining exchanges in the following states for 2023:

Cigna (Texas, Indiana, and South Carolina)
Ascension Personalized Care (Tennessee and Texas)
Aetna (Delaware, California, Illinois, New Jersey)
UnitedHealthcare (Kansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio)
AmeriHealth (Delaware)
Taro Health (Maine)
Blue Cross Blue Shield of Nebraska (Nebraska)
Moda Health (Idaho)
Luke’s Health Plan (Idaho)

But there are also some insurers exiting the marketplaces in several states, including:

Oscar Health (exiting Arkansas and Colorado, but remaining in nine other states)
Bright Health (exiting Illinois, New Mexico, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Utah, and Virginia, but remaining in 11 other states)

And even in states where the participating 2023 insurers will be the same ones that offered coverage in 2022, there may be service area changes in some states. This could result in an insurer’s plans becoming newly available in some areas, or no longer available in some areas.

Last year, we detailed the things that people need to keep in mind if a new insurer is joining the exchange. All of those points are still applicable for people in areas where new insurers will offer plans in 2023.

The main takeaway point is that it’s important to actively compare your available plan options, as opposed to just letting your existing plan auto-renew. One of the new plans (or another existing plan) might end up being a better fit for your needs. But it’s also possible that the benchmark plan’s pricing could change significantly, affecting the amount of your subsidy. If the price of your current plan shoots up, a comparable plan will likely be available for about what you paid this year (if your income and family size haven’t changed).

It’s also worth keeping in mind that the insurer’s estimate of what you’re likely to pay in the coming year, provided in a letter this fall, may be inaccurate – again, because of a shift in its pricing relationship to this year’s benchmark plan. You’ll get a separate letter from the exchange with details about your subsidy amount for 2023 and the amount you’ll pay if you let your current plan renew. But it’s also essential to log onto the exchange, update your information, and learn what your current plan and alternative plans will cost in 2023.

The ‘family glitch’ fix will help some buyers

Ever since ACA-compliant plans debuted in the fall of 2013, people have been ineligible for subsidies if they’re eligible for an employer-sponsored health plan that’s considered affordable. And the affordability determination has always been based on the cost of employee-only coverage, without taking into account the cost to add family members to the plan. But if the employer-sponsored plan was deemed affordable, the entire family was ineligible for subsidies in the marketplace, as long as they were eligible to be added to the employer’s plan. This is known as the “family glitch,” and it has put affordable health coverage out of reach for millions of Americans over the years.

Earlier this year, the IRS proposed a long-awaited fix for the family glitch, which is expected to be in place by the time open enrollment gets underway. Under the proposed rule change, the marketplace will do two separate affordability determinations when a family has access to an employer’s plan: one for the employee, and one for total family coverage. If the employee’s coverage is considered affordable but the family’s is not, the rest of the family will potentially be eligible for subsidies in the marketplace.

Some families will still find that they prefer to use the employer’s plan, despite the cost. But some will find that it’s beneficial to put some or all of the family members on a marketplace plan, even while the employee continues to have employer-sponsored coverage.

The main point to keep in mind here is that it’s important to double check your marketplace options this fall – even if you looked in the past and weren’t eligible for subsidies due to an offer of employer-sponsored coverage.

How are ACA premiums changing for 2023?

The only way to know for sure what your 2023 premium will be is to watch for correspondence from your insurer and exchange. They will notify you this fall about changes to your plan for 2023, including the new premium (and subsidy amount if you’re subsidy-eligible; most people are).

There’s a lot of variation from one plan to another in terms of pricing changes, and your net (after-subsidy) premium will also depend on how much your subsidy changes for 2023. But here’s a general overview of what to keep in mind:

Across most of the states, the preliminary average rate change for 2023 amounts to a 7.7% increase, according to ACA Signups. Final rates aren’t yet available in many states, but we’re generally seeing final rates that tend to be a bit lower than the insurers proposed. (This is partly due to the Inflation Reduction Act — which was enacted after insurers filed their rates and which will result in slightly smaller-than-proposed rate increases for some plans — and partly due to state regulators’ actions to reduce rates during the review process).
That’s a little larger than the overall average rate increases we’ve seen for the last few years (3.5% for 2022, less than 1% for 2021, and a slight decrease for 2020). But an overall average rate change only gives us a big picture; it doesn’t tell you how much your own plan’s premium will change or how much your net premium will change, and it also doesn’t account for the new plans that will be offered for 2023.
If the benchmark (second-lowest-cost Silver plan) premium in your area goes up, subsidy amounts will also go up. Conversely, if the benchmark premium goes down, subsidy amounts will also go down. This is independent of what your own plan’s price does. It can be possible, for example, for your plan’s premium to go up while the benchmark premium goes down (perhaps because a new insurer takes over the benchmark spot), resulting in a more significant increase in the actual amount you pay each month. This is why it’s so important to pay close attention to the information you receive from your insurer and the exchange, and to carefully consider all of your options during open enrollment.

As open enrollment draws closer, we’ll continue to update our open enrollment guide and our overview of each state’s marketplace.

You can start doing your plan shopping research now

If you already have marketplace coverage, keep an eye out for correspondence from the marketplace and your insurer. If you currently have off-exchange coverage, be sure to check your eligibility for subsidies in the marketplace; you might find that you can get a much better value by switching to a plan offered through the marketplace.

And if you’re currently uninsured or enrolled in non-ACA-compliant coverage, you’ll definitely want to look at the plan options that are available to you during open enrollment, and check your eligibility for subsidies. You might be surprised to see how affordable your coverage can be. The average enrollee is paying $133/month this year, and more than a quarter of enrollees are paying less than $10/month. Although specific plan prices change from one year to the next, this same overall level of affordability will continue in 2023.

Louise Norris is an individual health insurance broker who has been writing about health insurance and health reform since 2006. She has written dozens of opinions and educational pieces about the Affordable Care Act for healthinsurance.org. Her state health exchange updates are regularly cited by media who cover health reform and by other health insurance experts.

How will the Inflation Reduction Act help marketplace enrollees?

August 5, 2022

After months of stalled progress, legislation that would extend the American Rescue Plan’s health insurance subsidy enhancements is back on the table in the U.S. Senate. That’s great news for the 13 million Americans who are eligible for premium tax credits (subsidies) that offset the cost of marketplace (exchange) health insurance.

The Inflation Reduction Act was announced in late July, and a vote in the Senate is expected next week. The legislation – which is both a climate and healthcare bill – addresses several pressing priorities, including a three-year extension of the subsidy enhancements delivered by the American Rescue Plan.

How would the Inflation Reduction Act affect marketplace subsidies?

If the Senate and House both pass the Inflation Reduction Act, the current marketplace subsidy structure will remain in place through the end of 2025, instead of expiring at the end of 2022. This would help marketplace shoppers in several ways:

The subsidy cliff would continue to not exist for the next three years, meaning that Americans with income above 400% of the federal poverty level (FPL) would still be potentially eligible for subsidies. Subsidy eligibility would depend on the percentage of income that a person would have to spend on the benchmark plan, and subsidies would be available – even with income above 400% of FPL – if the benchmark plan would otherwise be more than 8.5% of household income.
Subsidies would continue to be larger than they were pre-ARP. The size of the subsidies varies by income, age, and area, but they limit the after-subsidy cost of the benchmark plan to a pre-determined percentage of household income. That percentage of income is on a sliding scale, and the ARP reduced it to 0% – 8.5%. Under the ACA, it had been 2% – 9.5%, with small annual inflation adjustments. With the ARP in place, the 0% – 8.5% scale has been used for 2021 and 2022 health plans. And the Inflation Reduction Act would lock in that same scale through the end of 2025.
The ongoing marketplace special enrollment period for subsidy-eligible applicants with household income up to 150% of FPL would continue to be available through 2025. HHS has clarified that this enrollment opportunity is only available as long as benchmark plans are premium-free for buyers at this income level. If the ACA’s scale were to return, subsidy-eligible applicants at the lower end of the income scale would pay roughly 2% of their income for the benchmark plan. But with the ARP’s scale in place, these applicants pay 0% of their income for the benchmark plan. The Inflation Reduction Act would continue that for three more years, allowing the special enrollment opportunity to continue as well.

Full-price premiums will still change in 2023; across more than half the states so far, the overall proposed average rate increase is about 8% – much of which is not related to whether the ARP subsidies are extended. But most enrollees do not pay full price. In 2022, about 89% of marketplace enrollees receive premium subsidies. HHS estimates that 3 million people will lose their coverage altogether – while 10 million will see their subsidies decline or disappear – if the ARP subsidies are not extended under the Inflation Reduction Act.

To be clear, even if the Inflation Reduction Act is enacted, there will be fluctuations in subsidy amounts and after-subsidy premiums for renewing plans. This happens every year, depending on how much the benchmark premium changes (keeping in mind that the benchmark plan can be a different plan from one year to the next) and how much the cost of a particular plan changes.

But with the Inflation Reduction Act, overall affordability will remain the same as it is this year, as the benchmark plan would continue to cost the same percentage of income that people pay this year. (We do have to keep in mind that the benchmark plan can be a different plan from one year to the next, new plans might be available for the coming year, and rates for other plans relative to the benchmark plan can also change.)

Without the Inflation Reduction Act, coverage would become much less affordable in 2023. HHS calculations show that if the ARP subsidy enhancements hadn’t been in effect this year, the premiums that enrollees paid themselves – after subsidies were applied – would have been 53% higher in the 33 states that use HealthCare.gov. That’s the sort of scenario that millions of marketplace enrollees would see in 2023 without the Inflation Reduction Act.

What does the Inflation Reduction Act not do?

Although the Inflation Reduction Act is a dramatically scaled-back version of 2021’s Build Back Better Act (which passed the House but then stalled in the Senate), the bill’s extension of the current ARP subsidy enhancements is identical to the ARP subsidy enhancement extension that was in the Build Back Better Act.

But there were some additional Build Back Better Act subsidy provisions that are not included in the Inflation Reduction Act: The Inflation Reduction Act will not close the Medicaid coverage gap that still exists in 11 states. It will not reinstate the temporary unemployment-related subsidies that were available in 2021. And it will not change the way affordability is determined for employer-sponsored health coverage.

Will the Inflation Reduction Act pass?

Passage of the Inflation Reduction Act is not a sure thing. It needs the backing of all 50 members of the Senate’s Democratic Caucus in order to pass, and that’s not a given.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has said that the House will pass the measure if and when they receive it from the Senate. Although the margin isn’t quite as tight in the House, Democrats can lose at most four votes in order to pass the bill in that chamber.

What does the Inflation Reduction Act legislation mean for 2023 open enrollment?

Open enrollment for 2023 health coverage starts on November 1. If the Inflation Reduction Act is enacted this summer, consumers should expect to see the same general level of affordability for 2023 that they had in 2022.

But this always varies from one area to another depending on factors such as new insurers entering a market, or state reinsurance programs that bring down full-price rates and result in lower subsidies. Even with the Inflation Reduction Act in place, that sort of subsidy and premium fluctuation will still happen in some areas and for some plans.

If the Inflation Reduction Act does not pass, net premiums will increase sharply for most current enrollees when their coverage renews for 2023. Some enrollees will need to switch to lower-cost plans in order to keep their premiums affordable.

Regardless of whether the ARP subsidy enhancements continue into 2023 or expire at the end of 2022, it will be important to carefully consider all options during open enrollment. There will be shifting insurer participation in some areas, changing premiums, and new plan designs.

People who buy their own health insurance will need to consider all of the available plans and select the one that best fits their needs and budget. That may or may not be the same plan they had this year, regardless of what happens with the ARP subsidy enhancements.